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Math · 6–8

Groundhog Prediction Analysis: Legend vs. Logic

Students compare Punxsutawney Phil’s Groundhog Day predictions with NOAA weather data to calculate accuracy and evaluate data reliability.

$4.99USD · Digital download

Students compare Punxsutawney Phil’s Groundhog Day predictions with NOAA weather data to calculate accuracy and evaluate data reliability. The worksheet includes vocabulary, a worked example, metacognitive prediction, and guided practice.

4 pagesof ready-to-use material · PDF
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What you’ll teach

Clear goals. Useful learning.

  • Students will calculate prediction accuracy percentages.
  • Students will compare predictions with observed weather data.
  • Students will interpret sample size and data reliability.
  • Students will evaluate probability claims using evidence.